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almost 5 years ago from oli ingram, Digital Designer at Thin Martian
Adobe is a tough company to beat because they have a ton of resources at their disposal and they can afford to lose sales and get things wrong. Not to mention there are fields they still dominate.
To me it looks like switching to Sketch would mean trading the bugs and problems I know and have found workarounds for, for new ones (not to mention they change with every release to the point where people are afraid to upgrade).
Personally, I don't think Sketch will win. The most likely scenario is something better comes along and just steals the market from both Sketch and Adobe. The second most likely is Adobe gets its shit together (XD is getting better and better and it is available to the huge market of Windows users).
Adobe XD (Experience Design) is a result of Sketch though, that means a small team like Bohemian is shaking a giant like Adobe, there must be some reasons for that.
Oh there definitely is, Sketch does quite a few things right and it had taken 34% of the UI market as of 2015 and Adobe had to respond as Sketch keeps growing with 47% as of 2016. XD had 10% in 2016.
But Sketch also has a lot of problems (they still have no damn colour management, haven't introduced any game changing features, the plugins keep breaking and their software is riddled with bugs), so what I am saying is that Bohemian's shitty software is a good competitor and a threat to Adobe's shitty software, but by no means capable of winning the war.
The minute something better comes along, people will jump ship and be happy to rid themselves of all the bugs. I don't think XD is that to win everyone over either - Adobe is just too slow and while they have interesting ideas and a cool roadmap ahead, it might be too late by the time they introduce them.
Figma seems like it could be promising. I adopted sketch fairly early and dealing with bugs just feels like a part of using sketch, but it's gotten a lot better. Not sure if I'm willing to be an early adopter for Figma...
Given they had 5 years and $18M to get it this far, I am not optimistic about the future of Figma and I remain unimpressed with what it can do so far.
From what I've seen Figma is a legit alternative—I just don't personally want browser chrome around my UI when I'm making stuff.
Fair enough, I guess we'll have to wait and see how the landscape changes and make due with buggy tools in the meantime.
There is a stable desktop version available for download.
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If Sketch is gonna lose (against Adobe) this is one of the reasons why it could happen. Come ooooon Bohemian!